Stevenage vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Stevenage v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals
Stevenage vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Stevenage 1-0 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics
Stevenage came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Peterborough United 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. At 1.91 (~52%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: Stevenage had 35% of the ball to Peterborough United's 65%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.18 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stevenage's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stevenage and 1.67 for Peterborough United.
Stevenage vs Peterborough United Result & Final Score
Stevenage 1-0 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Stevenage vs Peterborough United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 46%, draw 25%, Peterborough United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.