RFC Liege vs Lommel United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RFC Liege v Lommel United — Team-Based Signals
RFC Liege vs Lommel United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Lommel United
BEL2
RFC Liege 1-0 Lommel United — Actual Match Statistics
RFC Liege squeezed past Lommel United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lommel United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, RFC Liege had 45% of the ball to Lommel United's 55%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.86 to 0.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, RFC Liege had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for RFC Liege and 1.20 for Lommel United.
What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
RFC Liege 1-0 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 28%, draw 29%, Lommel United 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lommel United), BTTS Yes went the other way.