Toluca vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toluca v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toluca 5-0 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca made light work of Queretaro 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (66%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 75% to 25% in Toluca's favour, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.91 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Toluca against 1.00 for Queretaro.
Toluca vs Queretaro Result & Final Score
Toluca 5 - 0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toluca vs Queretaro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Toluca 76%, draw 14%, Queretaro 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.