Vissel Kobe 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.66/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.24
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.8 Crosses 17.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.03 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
01.03.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
01.09.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
15.05.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.06.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
18.02.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
2.57 xG 0.67
76% Ball Possession 24%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
636 Passes 144
90% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe squeezed past Avispa Fukuoka 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 76% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 24%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.57 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vissel Kobe's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Vissel Kobe 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 58%, draw 24%, Avispa Fukuoka 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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