Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +20%
1.55/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.48
-3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
24.8 Crosses 16.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.75 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
293 Passes 193
71% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
03.11.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
19.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-5 HT 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
23.09.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
04.06.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.97 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
189 Passes 240
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 46% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 54%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.97 to 1.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.83 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48%, draw 25%, Kyoto Sanga 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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