Umm Salal 2-2 Al Wakrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
52%
Away Win
48%
+3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 52%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.94/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.23
-27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
258 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
14.0 Crosses 22.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Wakrah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.85 xG 0.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
206 Passes 428
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
26.09.2025 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-2 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
07.05.2025 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 1-4 HT 1-3 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATEK
04.04.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
01.11.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
12.10.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
2-2
AWAY Al Wakrah
1.26 xG 2.95
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
139 Passes 401
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 45
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal and Al Wakrah shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wakrah at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Umm Salal had 31% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 69%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.26 to 2.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Umm Salal and 1.83 for Al Wakrah.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah?

Umm Salal 2-2 Al Wakrah in the Qatar League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 28%, draw 20%, Al Wakrah 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wakrah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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