Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ashdod v Hapoel Petah Tikva — Team-Based Signals
Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Ashdod 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Actual Match Statistics
Ashdod shaded a tight game against Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Ashdod as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (57%) came home.
Under the surface, Hapoel Petah Tikva saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.96 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ashdod had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Ashdod against 0.33 for Hapoel Petah Tikva.
Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Result & Final Score
Ashdod 1 - 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ashdod win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ashdod 42%, draw 29%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashdod), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.