Ashdod 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.34
6+ Goals
10%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashdod EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 32%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.59/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.51
-49% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
12.3 Crosses 23.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashdod
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.97 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
329 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 14
7 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Ashdod Ashdod 2-0 HT 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
09.12.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-1 HT 0-0 Ashdod Ashdod İSR
12.08.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-1 HT 0-1 Ashdod Ashdod İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashdod
1-0
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.96 xG 0.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
219 Passes 269
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashdod squeezed past Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ashdod found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ashdod had 47% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 53%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.96 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ashdod had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ashdod and 0.33 for Hapoel Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Ashdod 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ashdod 36%, draw 27%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hapoel Petah Tikva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Petah Tikva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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