Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-5 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
13%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.18/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.01
-44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
20.0 Crosses 15.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.96 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 330
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2024 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 HT 0-0 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem İSR
02.10.2023 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 0-3 HT 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
1-5
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
1.93 xG 2.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
206 Passes 327
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar Jerusalem swept aside Hapoel Tel Aviv 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Beitar Jerusalem found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hapoel Tel Aviv had 43% of the ball to Beitar Jerusalem's 57%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.93 to 2.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 0.50 for Beitar Jerusalem.

What was the final score of Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-5 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Tel Aviv 36%, draw 29%, Beitar Jerusalem 35%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
27 Apr 2024
17:00 Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Analysis →
17:30 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eran Hadera Analysis →
18:00 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya Analysis →
20:00 Ashdod vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Analysis →