Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
14%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.3pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-19.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.3pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 70%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.86/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.65/0.93
+14% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
209 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 538 · 85%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
12.2 Crosses 12.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.69 xG 1.98
29% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
199 Passes 606
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-2 HT 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
17.09.2023 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 HT 1-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
2-3
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.91 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
341 Passes 259
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv nicked a narrow win over Maccabi Bnei Raina 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maccabi Tel Aviv as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Maccabi Bnei Raina had 56% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.91 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maccabi Bnei Raina and 1.50 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Bnei Raina 27%, draw 26%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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