Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Eran Hadera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.68
Over 2.5
34%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.85
No
63%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
50%
-12.9pp
63%
BTTS No
50%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 36%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.28/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.20
+36% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +126%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
15.1 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 0.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
218 Passes 320
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 HT 1-1 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSR
19.12.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 1-0 HT 1-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
2-1
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
1.00 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
269 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eran Hadera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Jerusalem nicked a narrow win over Hapoel Eran Hadera 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Hapoel Jerusalem made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Jerusalem had 46% of the ball to Hapoel Eran Hadera's 54%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.00 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Jerusalem had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hapoel Jerusalem and 0.50 for Hapoel Eran Hadera.

What was the final score of Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Eran Hadera in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Jerusalem 40%, draw 28%, Hapoel Eran Hadera 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Jerusalem) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Jerusalem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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