Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2024

Jahn Regensburg
1-1 HT 0-0
Dynamo Dresden
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Jahn Regensburg vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.75
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
11%
6.72
X/2
20%
4.78
X/X
10%
4.73
2/1
12%
33.5
2/2
16%
2.94
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Dynamo Dresden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -10%
1.06/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.98
-17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Jahn Regensburg vs Dynamo Dresden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 278
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
30.04.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
26.11.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
28.02.2020 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-2 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
22.09.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
17.02.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Dynamo Dresden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1-1
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
175 Passes 327
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg and Dynamo Dresden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 40% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 60%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.00 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Dynamo Dresden?

Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 34%, draw 23%, Dynamo Dresden 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ BTTS No
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