Verl 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2024

Verl
1-1 HT 0-1
Waldhof Mannheim
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Verl vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.76
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.88
X/2
15%
5.52
X/X
11%
5.02
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.43
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Waldhof Mannheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -18%
1.43/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.42
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
– Crosses 12.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Verl vs Waldhof Mannheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-2 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
06.02.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
07.08.2022 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
12.03.2022 Verl Verl 1-3 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
03.10.2021 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 HT 2-0 Verl Verl AL3
15.05.2021 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3

Verl 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
1-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Verl vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and Waldhof Mannheim shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Verl had 71% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 29%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Verl and 1.67 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Verl vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Verl 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Verl 36%, draw 25%, Waldhof Mannheim 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✓ BTTS Yes
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