Saarbrücken 0-1 Hallescher FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.25
X/1
15%
3.82
X/2
10%
11.55
X/X
10%
6.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.7
2/2
7%
8.46
2/X
9%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hallescher FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
1.92/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.95
+2% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
Crosses 24.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hallescher FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
13.05.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 1-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
12.11.2022 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
19.03.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 2-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
16.10.2021 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
01.02.2021 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
0-1
AWAY Hallescher FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Hallescher FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hallescher FC edged past Saarbrücken 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Saarbrücken at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 45% of the ball to Hallescher FC's 55%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.83 for Hallescher FC.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Hallescher FC?

Saarbrücken 0-1 Hallescher FC in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Hallescher FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 55%, draw 23%, Hallescher FC 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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