Adelaide Comets 1-1 Modbury Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Comets EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.35/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.63
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Comets
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Modbury Jets
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 1-0 HT 0-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
29.04.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 2-3 HT 1-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
09.10.2020 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 4-1 HT 1-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
07.03.2015 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 1-5 HT 0-1 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Comets vs Modbury Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Comets and Modbury Jets shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Adelaide Comets had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Adelaide Comets and 1.00 for Modbury Jets.

What was the final score of Adelaide Comets vs Modbury Jets?

Adelaide Comets 1-1 Modbury Jets in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Comets vs Modbury Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modbury Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Comets 36%, draw 25%, Modbury Jets 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modbury Jets), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modbury Jets) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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