Adelaide Olympic vs NE MetroStars Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adelaide Olympic v NE MetroStars — Team-Based Signals
Adelaide Olympic vs NE MetroStars Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-2
NE MetroStars
AVSA
4-0
HT 4-0
Adelaide Olympic
AVNPL
2-0
HT 1-0
Adelaide Olympic
AVNPL
2-3
HT 1-0
NE MetroStars
AVNPL
1-1
HT 1-1
NE MetroStars
AVNPL
2-0
HT 0-0
Adelaide Olympic
AVNPL
Adelaide Olympic squeezed past NE MetroStars 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had NE MetroStars at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Adelaide Olympic and 2.83 for NE MetroStars.
What was the final score of Adelaide Olympic vs NE MetroStars?
Adelaide Olympic 4-3 NE MetroStars in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adelaide Olympic vs NE MetroStars?
Before kick-off our model rated an NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Olympic 18%, draw 19%, NE MetroStars 62%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NE MetroStars) went the other way.