Barbastro 3-2 Izarra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.28
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.71
Over
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.06
No
56%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Barbastro win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
75%
-11.9pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
28%
+16.0pp
56%
BTTS No
72%
-16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Izarra EU Bookmakers 9%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
0.44/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.20
-77% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
451 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Izarra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Izarra Izarra 1-1 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
11.02.2024 Izarra Izarra 2-0 HT 1-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
01.10.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 2-3 HT 0-2 Izarra Izarra İS4
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Izarra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro squeezed past Izarra 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barbastro as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Izarra led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barbastro and 2.00 for Izarra.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Izarra?

Barbastro 3-2 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Izarra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 63%, draw 22%, Izarra 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barbastro), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barbastro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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