Gimnastica Torrelavega 5-1 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.9
Over
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
42%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.4pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +20%
1.18/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.71
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Pontevedra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
14.01.2024 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-2 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
03.09.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-2 HT 1-2 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
5-1
AWAY Pontevedra
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Torrelavega cruised past Pontevedra 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Gimnastica Torrelavega made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastica Torrelavega had 35% of the ball to Pontevedra's 65%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontevedra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimnastica Torrelavega and 1.67 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Pontevedra?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 5-1 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 35%, draw 28%, Pontevedra 37%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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