Pontevedra 2-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.75
Over
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No Pick
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
44%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.1pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.9pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.21/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.60
+18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.01.2024 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-2 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
03.09.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-2 HT 1-2 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
2-1
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
76% Ball Possession 24%
16 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra squeezed past Gimnastica Torrelavega 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontevedra had 76% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 24%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pontevedra and 1.50 for Gimnastica Torrelavega.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Pontevedra 2-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 55%, draw 28%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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