Navalcarnero vs Cacereno Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Navalcarnero v Cacereno — Team-Based Signals
Navalcarnero vs Cacereno Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Navalcarnero
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Cacereno
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Navalcarnero
İS4
Navalcarnero 1-1 Cacereno — Actual Match Statistics
Navalcarnero and Cacereno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Navalcarnero had 64% of the ball to Cacereno's 36%, shots finished 16-6.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cacereno led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Navalcarnero and 1.60 for Cacereno.
What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Cacereno?
Navalcarnero 1-1 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Cacereno?
Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 40%, draw 27%, Cacereno 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Navalcarnero), BTTS No went the other way.