Cacereno vs Navalcarnero Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cacereno v Navalcarnero — Team-Based Signals
Cacereno vs Navalcarnero Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Navalcarnero
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Cacereno
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Navalcarnero
İS4
Cacereno 3-1 Navalcarnero — Actual Match Statistics
Cacereno got the better of Navalcarnero 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cacereno had 45% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 55%, shots finished 17-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cacereno had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cacereno and 0.25 for Navalcarnero.
What was the final score of Cacereno vs Navalcarnero?
Cacereno 3-1 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Navalcarnero?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 48%, draw 29%, Navalcarnero 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.