Real Aviles 3-0 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.71
Over
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Real Aviles win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
68%
-5.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo The Market 15%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.99/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.41
+6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Guijuelo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
24.02.2024 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
15.10.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 2-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
15.01.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
04.05.2014 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
3-0
AWAY Guijuelo
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles swept aside Guijuelo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Aviles as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Real Aviles had 52% of the ball to Guijuelo's 48%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guijuelo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Aviles and 1.60 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Guijuelo?

Real Aviles 3-0 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 62%, draw 18%, Guijuelo 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Aviles), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ BTTS No
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