Guijuelo 2-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.3pp
36%
Draw
30%
+5.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles The Market 30%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.17/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.20
-10% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
15.10.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 2-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
15.01.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
04.05.2014 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS3
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo edged past Real Aviles 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 36% / 28% — and on the day Guijuelo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guijuelo had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guijuelo and 1.00 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Real Aviles?

Guijuelo 2-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 36%, draw 36%, Real Aviles 28%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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