Real Sociedad III 0-1 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.71
Over
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
38%
Away Win
51%
-12.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.67/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.24
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.3 Crosses 45.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
1W-1D-1L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
155 Passes 408
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
4 Crosses 45
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 UD Logrones UD Logrones 3-0 HT 2-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
14.04.2024 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
03.12.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 2-0 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
0-1
AWAY UD Logrones
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones edged past Real Sociedad III 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; UD Logrones found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 49% of the ball to UD Logrones's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Sociedad III and 1.00 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs UD Logrones?

Real Sociedad III 0-1 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 33%, draw 29%, UD Logrones 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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