UD Logrones 3-0 Real Sociedad III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
UD Logrones win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
78%
-14.9pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.6pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.5pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.65/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.07
+23% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
430 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad III
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.24
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
408 Passes 155
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
45 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
03.12.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 2-0 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
3-0
AWAY Real Sociedad III
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Real Sociedad III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones cruised past Real Sociedad III 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UD Logrones had 56% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 44%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad III led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UD Logrones and 1.00 for Real Sociedad III.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Real Sociedad III?

UD Logrones 3-0 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Real Sociedad III?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 63%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad III 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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