UD Alzira 0-2 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.15/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.97
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Alzira
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-1 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
14.01.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 3-1 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
03.09.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 0-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
05.03.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 1-2 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
16.10.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 1-1 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Alzira
0-2
AWAY Pena Deportiva
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Alzira vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva beat UD Alzira 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Pena Deportiva made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, UD Alzira had 50% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 50%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for UD Alzira and 1.40 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of UD Alzira vs Pena Deportiva?

UD Alzira 0-2 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Alzira vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UD Alzira 35%, draw 27%, Pena Deportiva 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pena Deportiva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pena Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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