Avellino 2-1 Team Altamura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
2.21
Over
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No Pick
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
4.2
2-3
38%
1.86
4-5
21%
2.84
6+
8%
8.23
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.2 — our 33% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-14.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.5pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 15%
-10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.52/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.36
-18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Team Altamura
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2024 Team Altamura 1-3 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
2-1
AWAY Team Altamura
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Team Altamura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino nicked a narrow win over Team Altamura 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avellino had 57% of the ball to Team Altamura's 43%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Team Altamura?

Avellino 2-1 Team Altamura in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Team Altamura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Avellino 56%, draw 22%, Team Altamura 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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