Cavese 1-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
12%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
2.02/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.66
+17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-3 HT 1-2 Cavese Cavese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese edged past Sorrento Calcio 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cavese as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cavese had 63% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 37%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio?

Cavese 1-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavese win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cavese 48%, draw 29%, Sorrento Calcio 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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