Lucchese 3-2 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.02
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
14.02.2024 Lucchese Lucchese 0-2 HT 0-2 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
08.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 2-0 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
04.02.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
09.10.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 0-0 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
3-2
AWAY Sassari Torres
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese nicked a narrow win over Sassari Torres 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Lucchese made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lucchese had 44% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 56%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Lucchese and 1.00 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Sassari Torres?

Lucchese 3-2 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 40%, draw 32%, Sassari Torres 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucchese) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
27 Apr 2025
17:30 Virtus Entella vs Ternana Analysis →
17:30 Ascoli vs Legnago Salus Analysis →
17:30 Pescara vs Campobasso Analysis →
17:30 Athletic Carpi vs Sestri Levante Analysis →
17:30 Milan II vs Vis Pesaro Analysis →
17:30 Rimini vs Pineto Analysis →