Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.52
Over
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
12%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
60%
-14.4pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.0pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.65/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.12
+22% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Passes 0
13.02.2025 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJK
29.09.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
12.05.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.09.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
22.04.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
11.06.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza and Nueva Chicago couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Mendoza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.17 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 45%, draw 32%, Nueva Chicago 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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