Homeboyz 0-0 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.54
Over 2.5
30%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.2pp
38%
Draw
31%
+6.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.68/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.49
-35% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +106%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sofapaka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.11.2024 Sofapaka Sofapaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
10.04.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Homeboyz
0-0
AWAY Sofapaka
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz and Sofapaka played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 38% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Homeboyz had 61% of the ball to Sofapaka's 39%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sofapaka led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Homeboyz and 1.50 for Sofapaka.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Sofapaka?

Homeboyz 0-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 32%, draw 38%, Sofapaka 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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