Ulinzi Stars 4-0 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
40%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
29%
+10.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 32%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.50/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.91
-53% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Talanta
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.11.2024 Talanta 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
13.03.2022 Talanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
07.11.2021 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 2-2 HT 1-0 Talanta KEN2
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars swept aside Talanta 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ulinzi Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Talanta led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ulinzi Stars and 1.00 for Talanta.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Talanta?

Ulinzi Stars 4-0 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 32%, draw 28%, Talanta 40%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Talanta), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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