Boavista 0-5 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

Boavista
0-5 HT 0-2
Sporting CP
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Boavista vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
66%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.82
2-3 Goals
37%
2.07
4-5 Goals
25%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
27.5
1/2
7%
23.75
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
5%
31.0
X/2 EV+ ✗
28%
3.83
X/X
6%
10.65
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
31%
1.3
2/X
6%
29.0
Value flag · X/2 at 3.83 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
6%
+9.9pp
18%
Draw
13%
+4.2pp
67%
Away Win
81%
-14.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 85%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
0.89/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.62
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +10%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 85%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.2
13.7 Crosses 20.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Boavista vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.61 xG 2.26
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
251 Passes 526
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-2 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
17.03.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 6-1 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
30.10.2023 Boavista Boavista 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
12.03.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 2-0 Boavista Boavista POR
17.09.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
25.04.2022 Boavista Boavista 0-3 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Boavista 0-5 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
0-5
AWAY Sporting CP
0.42 xG 4.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 5
233 Passes 464
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 50
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP cruised past Boavista 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Boavista had 38% of the ball to Sporting CP's 62%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 0.42 to 4.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boavista and 3.00 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Sporting CP?

Boavista 0-5 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Boavista 16%, draw 18%, Sporting CP 67%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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