Örgryte 1-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.9
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
12%
6.85
X/2
11%
4.95
X/X
15%
4.62
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
22%
2.95
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 48%
-20% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.04/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.07
-13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
16.0 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Degerfors
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.08.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 1-3 HT 0-2 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
18.05.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 4-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
18.02.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 5-0 HT 3-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
21.10.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
24.07.2020 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
22.10.2019 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
1-1
AWAY Degerfors
1.78 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
416 Passes 347
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte and Degerfors shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Örgryte had 55% of the ball to Degerfors's 45%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.78 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Örgryte and 2.67 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Degerfors?

Örgryte 1-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 29%, draw 29%, Degerfors 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Degerfors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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