AIK 0-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Apr 2026

AIK
0-1 HT 0-1
Malmö FF
📅27/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2026

AIK vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
3.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 37% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.99
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
12%
4.91
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.78
X/X
13%
4.45
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
11%
4.95
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · X/2 at 6.78 — our 18% vs market 10.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AIK v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.67/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.66
+2% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.5 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

AIK vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.05
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
219 Passes 448
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.05.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
14.04.2025 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
15.09.2024 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
28.04.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-0 HT 3-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
23.07.2023 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.05.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 3-1 AIK AIK İSÇ

AIK 0-1 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
0-1
AWAY Malmö FF
1.12 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 6
415 Passes 308
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
50 Box Touches 20
37 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AIK vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF edged past AIK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Malmö FF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AIK had 57% of the ball to Malmö FF's 43%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.12 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for AIK and 1.33 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of AIK vs Malmö FF?

AIK 0-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AIK 40%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AIK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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