Aurora 1-1 Mictlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mictlan EU Bookmakers 45%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
208 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mictlan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2026 Mictlan Mictlan 2-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
23.11.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 4-0 HT 2-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
22.10.2025 Aurora Aurora 3-2 HT 1-1 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Mictlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora and Mictlan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mictlan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aurora and 2.67 for Mictlan.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Mictlan?

Aurora 1-1 Mictlan in the Guatemala - National League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Mictlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aurora 36%, draw 28%, Mictlan 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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