Municipal 3-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
2.12/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.56
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 175 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mixco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.03.2026 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.11.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
04.09.2025 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 2-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
05.05.2025 Municipal Municipal 4-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.05.2025 Mixco Mixco 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
13.04.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
3-0
AWAY Mixco
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal swept aside Mixco 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Municipal had 55% of the ball to Mixco's 45%, shots finished 21-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal and 0.67 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Mixco?

Municipal 3-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Municipal 66%, draw 22%, Mixco 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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