Mixco 1-0 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.51
Over 2.5
50%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
32%
-8.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-12.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+12.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.09/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.02
-13% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Municipal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
04.09.2025 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 2-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
05.05.2025 Municipal Municipal 4-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.05.2025 Mixco Mixco 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
13.04.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
09.02.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco nicked a narrow win over Municipal 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mixco and 1.50 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Municipal?

Mixco 1-0 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mixco 42%, draw 24%, Municipal 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ BTTS No
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