Marquense 2-2 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.2pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.16/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.13
-10% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Guastatoya
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
24.11.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 5-0 HT 4-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
18.09.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-2 HT 0-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
30.03.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
26.01.2025 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.10.2024 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense and Guastatoya shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Marquense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Marquense and 1.80 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Marquense 2-2 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Marquense 48%, draw 29%, Guastatoya 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marquense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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