Antigua GFC 1-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
10%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
10%
Away Win
13%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
2.04/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.72
+15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Achuapa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
02.08.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
28.04.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
01.03.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
18.11.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
18.02.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-2 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC edged past Achuapa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Antigua GFC and 0.83 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?

Antigua GFC 1-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 62%, draw 28%, Achuapa 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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