Al Gharafa 1-1 Al Shahaniya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
29%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.7pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.74/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.51
+10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 84%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.9 Crosses 20.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Shahaniya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.90 xG 1.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 307
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2025 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
18.04.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
08.12.2024 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
03.01.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
11.03.2015 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
21.10.2014 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
1-1
AWAY Al Shahaniya
0.71 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
399 Passes 367
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa and Al Shahaniya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Gharafa at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 52% of the ball to Al Shahaniya's 48%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.71 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.83 for Al Shahaniya.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya?

Al Gharafa 1-1 Al Shahaniya in the Qatar League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 54%, draw 20%, Al Shahaniya 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
27 Apr 2026
17:15 Qatar SC vs Al Duhail SC Analysis →
17:15 Al Wakrah vs Al Sailiya Analysis →
17:15 Al Rayyan vs Al Arabi Analysis →
19:30 Al Sadd vs Al Shamal Analysis →