Al Sadd 3-2 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.6
2-3 Goals
36%
2.12
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
17%
4.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
59%
+2.9pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.2pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.7pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +28%
1.95/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.64
+6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.1 Crosses 12.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shamal
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.95 xG 0.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
424 Passes 263
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
12.01.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
10.08.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
24.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
01.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
17.03.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
3-2
AWAY Al Shamal
1.86 xG 2.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd squeezed past Al Shamal 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Sadd had 54% of the ball to Al Shamal's 46%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.86 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Sadd and 0.50 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Al Shamal?

Al Sadd 3-2 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 62%, draw 19%, Al Shamal 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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