Al Shamal 0-3 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
59%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.89
Over 2.5
67%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.43
No
34%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.36
2-3 Goals
35%
2.12
4-5 Goals
30%
2.43
6+ Goals
18%
4.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-3.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
59%
Away Win
55%
+3.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
31%
+1.5pp
67%
Over 2.5
69%
-1.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
+0.4pp
34%
BTTS No
34%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 60%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.89/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.70
+27% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
17.1 Crosses 13.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Sadd
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.48 xG 3.06
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
239 Passes 447
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.01.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
10.08.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
24.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
01.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
17.03.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
06.09.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
0-3
AWAY Al Sadd
0.66 xG 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
322 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd cruised past Al Shamal 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

On the day, Al Shamal had 48% of the ball to Al Sadd's 52%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.66 to 2.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Shamal and 2.33 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Sadd?

Al Shamal 0-3 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 19%, draw 21%, Al Sadd 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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