Al Ahli vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Umm Salal
KAT
0-3
HT 0-3
Al Ahli
KAT
1-2
HT 1-2
Umm Salal
KAT
2-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahli
KATYK
1-1
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KATYK
3-1
HT 2-0
Al Ahli
KAT
Umm Salal swept aside Al Ahli 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli and 1.50 for Umm Salal.
What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Umm Salal?
Al Ahli 0-3 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Umm Salal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 50%, draw 23%, Umm Salal 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli), BTTS Yes went the other way.