Aguilas Doradas 2-2 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.03/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.90
+15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
17.7 Crosses 17.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
23.02.2025 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
21.07.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
26.01.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
05.08.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
12.02.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2-2
AWAY Once Caldas
1.54 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
266 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas and Once Caldas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 50% of the ball to Once Caldas's 50%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.54 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 0.83 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas?

Aguilas Doradas 2-2 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 35%, draw 26%, Once Caldas 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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