Gil Vicente 2-1 Casa Pia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Apr 2026

Gil Vicente
2-1 HT 1-1
Casa Pia
📅27/04/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.71
Over
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
2.74
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
19%
3.96
6+
9%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.17
X/2
8%
8.64
X/X
10%
4.44
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
6%
7.22
2/X
8%
15.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Gil Vicente v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Casa Pia The Market 25%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.37/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.37
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.0 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3

Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Casa Pia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.88 xG 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
415 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-1 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
22.02.2025 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
22.09.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
03.03.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
02.10.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
27.05.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR

Gil Vicente 2-1 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
2-1
AWAY Casa Pia
1.88 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
317 Passes 240
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gil Vicente came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Casa Pia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gil Vicente as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Gil Vicente's favour, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.88 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Gil Vicente against 0.50 for Casa Pia.

Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia Result & Final Score

Gil Vicente 2-1 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 57%, draw 24%, Casa Pia 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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