Metropolitanos 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.61/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.47
+20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
25.1 Crosses 16.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
205 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
06.04.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.09.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 4-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
16.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
14.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
2-0
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
0.99 xG 0.03
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
206 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos beat Estudiantes De Merida 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 38% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 62%, shots finished 9-2, expected goals 0.99 to 0.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.17 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Metropolitanos 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 55%, draw 23%, Estudiantes De Merida 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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