Beijing Guoan 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.98
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.61
No
36%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.87
2-3 Goals
36%
2.15
4-5 Goals
31%
2.32
6+ Goals
17%
4.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.48
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
18.7
X/1
24%
4.1
X/2
4%
17.55
X/X
10%
9.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
17.85
2/2
5%
13.0
2/X
6%
21.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.85 — our 17% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.2pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
58%
+6.1pp
36%
BTTS No
42%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
2.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.99
+21% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
435 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.0 Crosses 17.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.09 xG 0.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
441 Passes 243
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
25.08.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-0 HT 2-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
15.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-4 HT 1-3 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
07.07.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
30.03.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
16.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
1-0
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.28 xG 0.42
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
433 Passes 185
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan nicked a narrow win over Wuhan Three Towns 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 66% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 34%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.28 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.17 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Beijing Guoan 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 66%, draw 20%, Wuhan Three Towns 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
27 Jun 2026
14:00 Liaoning Shenyang vs Shandong Taishan Analysis →
14:35 Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Port Analysis →
14:35 Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Qianbao Analysis →
15:00 Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Tianjin Teda Analysis →