Shenzhen FC 2-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
59%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.05
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
7%
9.88
X/2
12%
4.43
X/X
7%
6.0
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
36%
2.08
2/X
5%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.05 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.8pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.7pp
58%
Away Win
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 60%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.14/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.09
-22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
18.7 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.62 xG 3.28
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
269 Passes 467
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2026 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 5-1 HT 3-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
22.11.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
25.06.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 5-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
09.08.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
20.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-1 HT 1-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
23.10.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
2-3
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.82 xG 1.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
250 Passes 201
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 36
23 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 54% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 46%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.82 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shenzhen FC and 3.50 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shenzhen FC 2-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 24%, draw 17%, Chengdu Qianbao 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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