Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novorizontino v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Vila Nova
BR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Novorizontino
BR2
Novorizontino 2-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino edged past Vila Nova 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Novorizontino had 51% of the ball to Vila Nova's 49%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.16 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Novorizontino's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novorizontino and 1.00 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Novorizontino 2-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 48%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.