TPS Turku 3-2 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
7%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 33% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.75
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
18%
4.72
X/2
10%
7.24
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
7%
24.35
2/2
10%
5.34
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
0.57/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.28
-31% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.0 Crosses 16.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
278 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2026 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
03.10.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-0 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
02.06.2024 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
13.04.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-2 Jaro Jaro FİN2
03.02.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FINYK
14.07.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
3-2
AWAY Jaro
3.73 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
487 Passes 383
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ TPS Turku vs Jaro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

TPS Turku edged past Jaro 3-2 in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27 Jun 2026. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, TPS Turku had 54% of the ball to Jaro's 46%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 3.73 to 1.25.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for TPS Turku and 1.17 for Jaro.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs Jaro?

TPS Turku 3-2 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 52%, draw 22%, Jaro 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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